Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 7.892765 8.891681 9.930265 11.087557 12.337936 13.645080 15.111754
2024-10-27 5.986408 7.347094 8.844918 10.603091 12.597253 14.776164 17.324018
2024-11-03 5.167277 6.749281 8.562946 10.769239 13.353601 16.258795 19.744720
2024-11-10 4.565660 6.298122 8.355077 10.933335 14.033994 17.599696 21.965638
2024-11-17 3.947065 5.744483 7.952012 10.798114 14.304984 18.421564 23.553621
2024-11-24 3.513377 5.370686 7.722548 10.831092 14.742603 19.415151 25.328984
2024-12-01 3.117529 5.002456 7.461382 10.789396 15.060192 20.244859 26.897780
2024-12-08 2.789829 4.691891 7.244679 10.777191 15.393122 21.079359 28.466523
2024-12-15 2.716383 4.727516 7.482507 11.355168 16.479889 22.857023 31.212073
2024-12-22 2.457972 4.470910 7.301273 11.359034 16.813358 23.685273 32.781578
2024-12-29 2.393046 4.494198 7.504300 11.880087 17.826327 25.382330 35.454792
2025-01-05 2.274840 4.424407 7.566880 12.203484 18.577284 26.749686 37.724186
2025-01-12 1.999354 4.088709 7.231998 11.966765 18.579611 27.162876 38.804146
2025-01-19 1.683638 3.656136 6.725497 11.460527 18.193941 27.054448 39.205094
2025-01-26 1.567938 3.547292 6.698005 11.635645 18.739967 28.171532 41.196797
2025-02-02 1.462386 3.445584 6.673323 11.809070 19.281565 29.285264 43.192638
2025-02-09 1.299367 3.223843 6.444577 11.666195 19.368113 29.783898 44.380163
2025-02-16 1.187688 3.085217 6.339359 11.701042 19.702010 30.615055 46.010762
2025-02-23 1.071721 2.925610 6.188715 11.656983 19.915927 31.280245 47.422542
2025-03-02 0.971987 2.786881 6.063408 11.644086 20.169700 31.998340 48.907936
2025-03-09 0.982433 2.875878 6.330658 12.254590 21.347132 34.004964 52.146996
2025-03-16 0.895951 2.751439 6.220036 12.258672 21.625356 34.763422 53.702911
2025-03-23 0.897686 2.817910 6.447161 12.808634 22.722401 36.674267 56.838230